Electricity pulls PPI down

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The producer price index (PPI) had a small down turn in March. Lower prices on electricity, gas and steam was an important factor for this outcome. However, the fall was reduced by higher prices on refined petroleum products.

Prices on refined petroleum products increased with 7.8 per cent in March. The industry has seen continuously price increases for several months know and the March increase seems to be part of a trend, according to new figures from the Producer price index.

Extraction of oil and natural gas had a small price reduction in March and had less effect on the PPI total than the two previous months. The price reduction can be traced to a lower price on natural gas. Individually, oil and natural gas had larger price changes, but the changes in March went in separate directions.

Figure 1. Price index. 2015=100

Basic metals Non-ferrous metals
Jan. 2015 105.1 107.1
Feb. 2015 104.1 105.2
Mar. 2015 106.6 108.9
Apr. 2015 103.7 105.2
May 2015 102.2 103.3
June 2015 101.8 103
July 2015 99.6 99.8
Aug. 2015 96.8 95.5
Sep. 2015 96.2 94.2
Oct. 2015 95.7 93.7
Nov. 2015 95.1 93.3
Dec. 2015 93.1 90.6
Jan. 2016 91.9 90.5
Feb. 2016 90.7 90
Mar. 2016 90.4 89.9
Apr. 2016 89.2 89.1
May 2016 89.7 88.9
June 2016 89.7 88.7
July 2016 93.3 93.4
Aug. 2016 96.5 96.4
Sep. 2016 95.1 94.3
Oct. 2016 93.7 92.3
Nov. 2016 96 95.6
Dec. 2016 98.7 99.8
Jan. 2017 100.9 101.8
Feb. 2017 105.4 101.6
Mar. 2017 107.7 105.6
Apr. 2017 110.5 107.6
May 2017 111.1 107.6
June 2017 110 105.4
July 2017 110 105.9
Aug. 2017 110.3 105.8
Sep. 2017 112 108.6
Oct. 2017 110.3 107.5
Nov. 2017 116.6 116.1
Dec. 2017 118 117.2
Jan. 2018 118.5 118
Feb. 2018 122.3 119.8
Mar. 2018 121.8 119.4
Apr. 2018 121.9 118
May 2018 125.1 122.2
June 2018 127.4 125.2
July 2018 124.9 122.9
Aug. 2018 122.7 120
Sep. 2018 121.5 119.1
Oct. 2018 120.6 117.3
Nov. 2018 119.5 117.5
Dec. 2018 118.6 116.5
Jan. 2019 119.9 117.7
Feb. 2019 120.3 118.8
Mar. 2019 121.6 121.2
Apr. 2019 121.6 120.2
May 2019 120.3 119.1
June 2019 119.2 117.9
July 2019 118.4 117.1
Aug. 2019 121.3 120.9
Sep. 2019 125.7 127.2
Oct. 2019 128.1 130.7
Nov. 2019 126 128.7
Dec. 2019 124.4 126.3
Jan. 2020 121.1 122.2
Feb. 2020 122.4 124.1
Mar. 2020 125 127.7
Apr. 2020 127.4 128.4
May 2020 126.8 124.6
June 2020 122.8 119.5
July 2020 121.7 120.6
Aug. 2020 121.9 122.7
Sep. 2020 124.3 125.9
Oct. 2020 126 128.7
Nov. 2020 129.1 131.9
Dec. 2020 131.8 134.9
Jan. 2021 132.8 135.6
Feb. 2021 136 137.9
Mar. 2021 137.8 137.7

Record high price level for basic metals

Basic metals increased with 1.3 per cent and continued its price increase from previous month. The result was mainly driven by increase in prices for production of iron and steel. Basic metals have seen a continuously price increase for several months and was as of March at a record high level.

Bloomberg sees the high prices as result of bets that the economic recovery from the pandemic and a international push for more green energy will increase demand.

Declining prices for electricity

Electricity had a price fall of 13,8 per cent in March, but nevertheless, the price level for March is considerably higher than the same month in 2020. This can be traced back to the increase from December 2020 to January 2021.

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