Continued downturn in PPI

Published:

The producer price index (PPI) fell in June for the sixth month in a row. The downturn came both outside and inside the energy goods.

In total, PPI fell by 1.3 percent from May to June 2020. If one takes out the energy goods, the downturn in PPI was at 1.4 percent. The downturn in prices on energy goods a bit smaller, at 1.0 percent. The largest sector in energy goods is extraction, and the combined price index for extraction of crude oil and natural gas fell by 1.8 percent. However, there were differences, as the price on natural gas went down, while the price on crude oil went up. The price increase on oil can be explained by the decision by Russia and Saudi Arabia to resume their cooperation on stabilizing the market. In addition to this, comes an increased demand from China.

Small increase in manufacturing

One part of the energy goods that had an increase, was the refined petroleum products. The prices on these increased by 12.0 percent from May to June. This happened after three months of partly heavy price drops. The increase in the refining industry was decisive in for a small increase of 0.4 percent in manufacturing, as the index without these refined products ended up at a negative 0.5 percent. But there were differences in different industries here too. Of industries with a downturn in prices, one can mention the chemical industry and the metal industry. These had downturns of 1.4 percent and 3.2 percent, respectively.

On the side of the upturn, the mineral product industry had an increase in prices of 1.1 percent. A smaller industry, the beverage industry, had a much larger increase at 5.7 percent. Several breweries report increased prices now that restaurants and bars are almost fully operational, after a partial lockdown due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Figure 1. Price index. 2015=100

Manufacturing, total Beverages
Jan. 2015 98.91 94.31
Feb. 2015 99.78 98.56
March 2015 100.54 98.66
April 2015 100.79 99.38
May 2015 100.94 98.87
June 2015 101.09 99.56
July 2015 101.19 100.73
Aug. 2015 100.04 103.54
Sep. 2015 98.83 102.37
Oct. 2015 99.24 101.57
Nov. 2015 99.83 101.27
Dec. 2015 98.81 101.19
Jan. 2016 97.5 99.19
Feb. 2016 96.82 101.52
March 2016 97.05 104.67
April 2016 97.8 104.76
May 2016 99.23 103.75
June 2016 100.38 103
July 2016 101.7 103.45
Aug. 2016 100.52 102.63
Sep. 2016 100.04 102.45
Oct. 2016 100.55 101.66
Nov. 2016 101.39 102.92
Dec. 2016 102.1 101.92
Jan. 2017 104.12 103.02
Feb. 2017 106.06 101.57
March 2017 105.53 103.68
April 2017 105.84 104.05
May 2017 105.71 104.1
June 2017 105.02 103.11
July 2017 104.43 104.39
Aug. 2017 104.36 106.1
Sep. 2017 105.72 106.95
Oct. 2017 106.19 105.4
Nov. 2017 107.45 104.55
Dec. 2017 109.12 105.08
Jan. 2018 110.1 104.94
Feb. 2018 110.04 101.78
March 2018 109.9 103.83
April 2018 110.39 102.18
May 2018 112.81 104.76
June 2018 113.98 104.33
July 2018 113.87 103.7
Aug. 2018 113.46 105.18
Sep. 2018 113.56 106.65
Oct. 2018 115.04 103.59
Nov. 2018 114.85 101.71
Dec. 2018 113.12 104.62
Jan. 2019 112.51 100.55
Feb. 2019 113.64 102.71
March 2019 114.03 103.91
April 2019 114.88 101.79
May 2019 115.07 101.85
June 2019 114.17 103.38
July 2019 112.94 103.73
Aug. 2019 113.01 105.64
Sep. 2019 112.88 105
Oct. 2019 114.66 104.61
Nov. 2019 115.2 104.25
Dec. 2019 116.04 103.07
Jan. 2020 116.4 101.74
Feb. 2020 117.97 104.6
March 2020 116.45 104.48
April 2020 113.3 102.8
May 2020 111.35 99.46
June 2020 111.71 105.21

Continued low electricity prices

The prices on electricity fell in June, after a short-term increase in May. A high degree of magazine fillings, and a lowered exchange capacity due to an error on the Skagerak-connection (in Norwegian) were contributary to the low prices. The only thing that dampened the total downturn in electricity prices, were the almost unchanged prices for rents on distribution. The total change in prices on electricity, gas and steam ended up at a negative 8.5 percent.

[Electricity, gas and steam: In Norway, production and distribution of electricity are the principal parts of this group]