Decreased money supply growth

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The twelve-month growth in the monetary aggregate M3 was 3.8 per cent to end-February 2018, down from 5.1 per cent to end-January. Households’ growth in M3 was 4.4 per cent to end-February, up from 3.9 per cent the previous month.

Written by: Eirin Ingvaldsen Brynestad / Heidi Vegsund

The twelve-month growth in households’ money supply was lower than the growth in households’ domestic debt, which was 6.0 per cent to end-February according to the credit indicator C2.

The money supply growth for non-financial corporations was 3.1 per cent to end-February, while the growth for municipal government was 1.9 per cent. The money supply growth for other financial corporations was 3.9 per cent to end-February, according to new figures from the Monetary aggregates statistics

Figure 1. Monetary aggregate M3. Twelve-month growth

Money-holding sector Households Non-financial corporations
Feb. 2012 6.3 7.7 4.8
Mar. 2012 6.8 8.7 3
Apr. 2012 5.2 8.3 0.2
May 2012 3.3 8.6 -4.2
June 2012 5.7 8.8 1.2
July 2012 5.2 7.9 2
Aug. 2012 5.3 8.5 -0.5
Sept. 2012 5 8.8 -0.9
Oct. 2012 4 7.3 -0.8
Nov. 2012 5.3 7.2 3.2
Dec. 2012 4.8 6.8 1.4
Jan. 2013 4.9 6.8 2.1
Feb. 2013 3.8 6.5 -0.5
Mar. 2013 3.8 6.3 -0.5
Apr. 2013 4.1 5.8 1.3
May 2013 6.1 5.9 6
June 2013 4.7 6.0 2.8
July 2013 5.2 5.8 4.3
Aug. 2013 6.1 6.5 8.3
Sept. 2013 4 5.7 4.3
Oct. 2013 4.5 6.1 4.5
Nov. 2013 4.2 6.4 3.1
Dec. 2013 6.1 6.3 5.9
Jan. 2014 5.2 6.3 5
Feb. 2014 5.7 6.4 6
Mar. 2014 5.8 5.8 8.4
Apr. 2014 6.3 6.5 6.2
May 2014 5.4 6.7 3.7
June 2014 6.8 6.2 5.6
July 2014 5.3 6.3 2.9
Aug. 2014 5.9 6.6 3.8
Sept. 2014 6.4 6.6 5.6
Oct. 2014 5.4 6.5 5.2
Nov. 2014 5.7 7 4.3
Dec. 2014 5.5 7.4 4.5
Jan. 2015 5.6 7.2 3.9
Feb. 2015 4.9 7.2 2.1
Mar. 2015 6 6.7 6
Apr. 2015 4.9 6.7 3.6
May 2015 5.7 7.4 6.5
June 2015 4.6 6.3 5.1
July 2015 5.6 6.2 7.5
Aug. 2015 3.5 5.7 1.5
Sept. 2015 4.6 5.8 4.1
Oct. 2015 5.5 6.2 3.3
Nov. 2015 4.1 5.2 3.1
Dec. 2015 3.1 5.1 0.7
Jan. 2016 3.1 5.5 0.6
Feb. 2016 4.4 5.1 5
Mar. 2016 3.6 5.4 0.7
Apr. 2016 5.3 5.8 5.7
May 2016 3.2 4.6 0.6
June 2016 4.6 5.3 2.6
July 2016 4.6 5.8 2.0
Aug. 2016 5.8 5.2 6.9
Sept. 2016 6.8 5.3 8.3
Oct. 2016 6.2 4.9 9.2
Nov. 2016 6.6 5.1 9.3
Dec. 2016 5.4 4.1 8.2
Jan. 2017 6.5 3.1 11.6
Feb. 2017 6.6 3.4 11.6
Mar. 2017 7.4 3.5 15.4
Apr. 2017 7.1 3.6 12.7
May 2017 7.4 3.7 15.5
Jun. 2017 7.1 3.8 15.4
July 2017 7.7 3.2 15.4
Aug. 2017 6.7 3.5 12.7
Sept. 2017 6.4 4 11.8
Oct. 2017 6.7 4.1 11.4
Nov. 2017 6.5 4.1 9.8
Dec. 2017 6.3 4.4 7.7
Jan. 2018 5.1 3.9 6.1
Feb. 2018 3.8 4.4 3.1

More than half of M3 held by households

The monetary aggregate M3 was NOK 2 146 billion at the end of February, down from NOK 2 169 billion the previous month. More than half of M3 is held by households. At end-February this amounted to NOK 1 239 billion, up from 1 224 billion the previous month.

The money supply for non-financial corporations was NOK 684 billion at end-February, down from NOK 712 billion the previous month. The money supply for municipal government and other financial corporations amounted to NOK 91 billion and NOK 132 billion respectively.

Steady composition of the money supply

The composition of the money supply remains steady but notice that the share of transaction deposits has increased somewhat, while other deposits decrease. This is due to changes in the reporting of deposits to the public authorities as of January 2018. See more information about this in the text box below.

Transaction deposits accounted for 90.9 per cent of the total money supply, while other deposits accounted for 6.7 per cent at the end of February. Notes and coins accounted for 1.9 per cent,  while repurchase agreements, debt securities and bonds and bonds in total accounted for 0.4 per cent of the money supply at end-February.

Adaption to IFRS

Norwegian financial institutions’ reporting to ORBOF (reporting of banks, mortgage companies, state lending institutions and finance companies’ accounts to the public authorities) has been adapted to IFRS (International Accounting Standards). The most important impact for the Monetary Aggregate Statistics is that accrued costs are to be applied to the underlying financial instrument.

With this change some deposits have been reclassified by the financial institutions implying that some deposits that previously were excluded from the monetary aggregate now are included. In addition, some deposits have been moved from other deposits to transaction deposits. These changes are not caused by new definitions but a consequence of more accurate classification of different types of deposits.

The calculation of transactions and growth is adjusted for these changes.

There is some uncertainty associated with the quality of data as of January 2018. The data is edited continuously and will be updated with the release of data for March 2018. Time series that were not released at the previous publishing are now available in the StatBank.

 

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