Discussion Papers no. 666

Life-cycle bias and the returns to schooling in current and lifetime earnings

This paper uses a unique data set with nearly career-long earnings histories to provide evidence on the returns to schooling in current and lifetime earnings. We use these results to assess the importance of life-cycle bias in earnings regressions using current earnings as a proxy for lifetime earnings. To account for the endogeneity of schooling, we apply three commonly used identification strategies. Our estimates demonstrate a strong life-cycle bias, often exceeding the bias from assuming that schooling is exogenous. We further explore the problems caused by life-cycle bias in research on the economic returns to schooling, and discuss possible remedies.

Om publikasjonen

Tittel

Life-cycle bias and the returns to schooling in current and lifetime earnings

Ansvarlige

Manudeep Bhuller, Magne Mogstad, Kjell G. Salvanes

Serie og -nummer

Discussion Papers no. 666

Utgiver

Statistics Norway

Emne

Discussion Papers

ISSN

1892-753X

Antall sider

42

Målform

Engelsk

Om Discussion Papers

Discussion papers comprise research papers intended for international journals and books. A preprint of a Discussion Paper may be longer and more elaborate than a standard journal article as it may include intermediate calculations, background material etc.

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