Topic
National accounts and business cycles: Business cycles
All content for subtopic business cycles
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- Publications and articles (223)
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Economic Survey 1-2018
The Norwegian economic downturn bottomed out just over a year ago. According to preliminary seasonally adjusted figures from the quarterly national accounts (QNA), average quarterly mainland GDP Growth through 2017 was 0.6 per cent.
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Economic trends for Møre og Romsdal
Reports 2018/10
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Norwegian economy boosted by increase in petroleum investment
The Norwegian economy experienced an economic upturn throughout 2017. Going forward, the upturn will be driven by an increase in investments in the petroleum industry and higher international growth, but will be slowed down by falling housing inve...
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Pronounced rise in new orders
Compared with the fourth quarter of 2016, new orders received in the order-based industry showed a considerable growth in the fourth quarter of 2017. The value of new orders in the last quarter of the 2017 is bigger than the deliveries and therefo...
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Optimism in manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a production increase in the fourth quarter of 2017, with expectations of increased production and new orders in the first quarter of 2018. The general expectations for the first quarter of 2018 are also positi...
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Significant and plausible futures
Reports 2018/02
This report describes the approach and results of a scenario workshop for a transdisciplinary team of 18 experts held in the project SMART PATHS in June 2017.
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Economic Survey 4-2017
The preliminary seasonally adjusted quarterly national accounts figures (QNA) for the third quarter of 2017 confirm that the cyclical trough was reached about a year ago. Mainland GDP growth has now been higher than trend growth, estimated at just...
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The moderate upturn continues
The turnaround in the economy was driven by a highly expansive fiscal and monetary policy, a weak krone, low wage growth and strong growth in house building. Going forward, house building is expected to curb the economic upturn. Interest rates wil...
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Total stocks in industry reduces
Compared with the third quarter of 2016, total stocks in the order-based industry fell by 9.9 per cent in the third quarter of 2017. New orders fell by 3.2 per cent in the same period.
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Contributions for demography and macroeconomics from immigration towards 2100
Reports 2017/31
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Positive signals from manufacturing
Norwegian industrial managers report a small production increase in the third quarter of 2017, with the expectation of increased production and new orders in the fourth quarter. The general expectations for the fourth quarter of 2017 are also posi...
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Moderate fall in manufacturing output during summer
Norwegian manufacturing output saw a minor decrease of 0.3 per cent from June to August 2017 compared to the previous three-month period, according to seasonally-adjusted figures. On a month to month basis, from July to August 2017, manufacturing ...
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Economic Survey 3-2017
After being in a cyclical downturn for almost three years, growth in the Norwegian economy has picked up. The downturn appears to have bottomed out at the end of last year, but the upturn is a fragile one in that we forecast growth only slightly o...
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Cyclical bottom has been reached, but recovery will be slow
A highly expansive fiscal and monetary policy, weak krone and strong growth in house building have contributed to a shift in the economy. Low interest rates and high growth internationally are driving the upswing, while a stronger krone and less h...
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Growth in manufacturing output
Norwegian manufacturing output saw an increase of 1.0 per cent from May to July 2017 compared to the previous three-month period, according to seasonally-adjusted figures. On a month to month basis, from June to July 2017, manufacturing output wen...
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