Low population growth continues

Published:

A further reduction in immigration and a small decrease in the number of births resulted in low population growth in the 3rd quarter.

The population grew by 12 500 in the 3rd quarter as a result of an excess of births of 5 700 and net migration of 6900, according to new figures from the statistics Population and population changes.

Figure 1

Excess of births, net migration and population growth. 3rd quarter

Reduction in immigration

A total of 16 800 persons immigrated to Norway in the 3rd quarter, which is 3 800 fewer than the 3rd quarter of 2016, and the lowest figure since the 3rd quarter of 2006. The net migration has more than halved since the 3rd quarter of 2012, when total immigration peaked at 24 000. In the 3rd quarter, 9 900 persons emigrated. This is 1 200 fewer than the same quarter last year.

Figure 2. Immigration by citizenship. Foreign citizens. 3rd quarter 2016 - 3rd quarter 2017

Q3-2017 Q2-2017 Q1-2017 Q4-2016 Q3-2016
USA 371 117 155 195 331
Germany 388 210 237 315 510
Phillippines 415 448 476 505 632
Eritrea 449 517 749 447 485
India 469 413 310 259 446
Denmark 487 202 257 236 507
Lithuania 669 584 752 653 550
Sweden 734 412 567 398 734
Poland 1272 1107 1524 1393 1270
Syria 1419 1685 2163 3572 3924

Figure 3. Immigration, emigration and net migration, by citizenship. Foreign citisens. 3rd quarter 2017

Immigration Emigration Net migration
Iran 212 20 192
USA 371 177 194
Philippines 415 208 207
China 328 102 226
Thailand 274 42 232
India 469 178 291
Lithuania 669 358 311
Eritrea 449 17 432
Poland 1272 816 456
Syria 1419 19 1400

Among foreign citizens who immigrated, the largest group were Syrians, with over 1 400, and Poles, with about 1 300. Almost no Syrians emigrated, and net migration ended at 1 400. Net migration for those with Polish citizenship ended at 500, with 1 300 immigrating and 800 emigrating.

Fewer births

A total of 15 100 children were born in the 3rd quarter, which is the lowest figure since the 3rd quarter of 2005. A total of 9 450 persons died. The low birth figure contributed to the excess of birth ending up at 5 650, which is the lowest since the 3rd quarter of 2007.

High population growth in Vest-Agder

The population increased in all counties except Nordland and Finnmark during the 3rd quarter. Seen in relation to the population, the population growth was highest in Vest-Agder, Sør-Trøndelag and Oslo.

The high population growth in Vest-Agder in the 3rd quarter is linked to the high level of migration to the county. Municipalities with higher education establishments have more migrants arriving in the 3rd quarter than the rest of the year. The large number of migrants to Kristiansand can be related to the municipality offering free bus travel to students who notify the municipality of their migration. The municipality of Bø in Telemark, which also had many migrants, gives free bikes to students who report their migration to Bø.

The decrease in population in Nordland and Finnmark is due to internal migration losses to other counties. The counties Finnmark, Rogaland, Sogn og Fjordane and Nordland had the biggest internal migration loss in the 3rd quarter relative to the population.

Figure 4. Net migration. Internal and from abroad. Per 1 000. 3rd quarter 2017

Net migration, internal Net migration from abroad
The whole country 0.00 1.30
Østfold 1.45 0.79
Akershus 1.41 0.94
Oslo 0.10 1.97
Hedmark 0.47 0.89
Oppland 0.64 1.12
Buskerud 0.82 1.16
Vestfold 0.38 0.97
Telemark -1.37 1.66
Aust-Agder -0.36 0.50
Vest-Agder 6.26 1.59
Rogaland -2.47 0.82
Hordaland -0.66 1.27
Sogn og Fjordane -2.13 1.79
Møre og Romsdal -1.66 1.30
Sør-Trøndelag 1.92 2.41
Nord-Trøndelag -1.24 1.55
Nordland -2.10 1.22
Troms Romsa -1.37 1.09
Finnmark Finnmárku -3.65 1.26

Clearing-up in the Central Population Register

A third of the emigrations last year concerned people that the Tax Administration has decided have emigrated. These are persons without a residence permit or persons who have emigrated a long time ago without reporting it to the authorities.

Short-term stays and asylum seekers

Persons who stay in Norway for less than 6 months are not included in the figures. Asylum seekers are included when they are granted a residence permit.